{"id":27971,"date":"2024-07-09T13:55:51","date_gmt":"2024-07-09T13:55:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/?p=27971"},"modified":"2024-07-09T09:56:11","modified_gmt":"2024-07-09T13:56:11","slug":"in-our-opinion-any-depression-will-be-real-not-nominal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/in-our-opinion-any-depression-will-be-real-not-nominal\/","title":{"rendered":"In Our Opinion, Any \u201cDepression\u201d Will Be Real, Not Nominal."},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"postie-post\">\n<div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Former IMF chief economist, 15 yrs ago, in May 2009. &nbsp;Said we had a decade or so to fix structural issues revealed by the GFC, then sh*t would get real. &nbsp;What we are watching now is essentially the universe saying \u201cTime\u2019s up.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lukegromen\/status\/1810670315850055863?s=43&amp;t=NipKy21fekvPoZS5MA8-lQ\"><\/p>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"border:1px solid #ccd6dd; border-radius: 12px;\" width=\"500\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"464\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr valign=\"top\">\n<td width=\"48\" valign=\"top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lukegromen?s=43\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/1324915316359639040\/CHzzcMuI_normal.jpg\" style=\"border-radius: 50%; padding: 0px;\" height=\"48\" width=\"48\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"8\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width:8px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/spacer.png\" width=\"8\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"middle\" width=\"388\" style=\"min-width: 388px;\">\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" align=\"left\" width=\"388\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" width=\"388\"><b><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lukegromen?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; color: #292c2f; text-decoration: none;\">Luke Gromen<\/a><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lukegromen?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration: none; color: #7e8c98;\">\u2066\u202a@LukeGromen\u202c\u2069<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"20\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/logo_twitter-1497383721365.png\" height=\"20\" width=\"24\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"9\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/self_serve\/media\/spacer_464x1-1582829598167.png\" width=\"464\" height=\"1\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #292c2f; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; text-decoration: none;\">Former IMF chief economist, 15 yrs ago, in May 2009.  <\/p>\n<p>Said we had a decade or so to fix structural issues revealed by the GFC, then sh*t would get real.<\/p>\n<p>What we are watching now is essentially the universe saying \u201cTime\u2019s up.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>IMO any \u201cdepression\u201d &#x1f447; will be real, not nominal. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/d28Ch49888\"><span>pic.twitter.com\/d28Ch49888<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"3\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lukegromen\/status\/1810670315850055863?s=43&amp;t=NipKy21fekvPoZS5MA8-lQ\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #667785; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration:none;\">7\/9\/24, 8:40\u202fAM<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">In our opinion, any \u201cdepression\u201d will be real, not nominal.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image0.jpeg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image0-17.jpeg\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/lukegromen\/status\/1810670315850055863?s=43&amp;t=NipKy21fekvPoZS5MA8-lQ\"><\/p>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"500\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" style=\"border: 1px solid rgb(204, 214, 221); border-radius: 12px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"464\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; color: rgb(41, 44, 47); font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px;\">IMO any \u201cdepression\u201d &#x1f447; will be real, not nominal.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/a><\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">3\/ What is a \u201creal\u201d v \u201cnominal\u201d depression?<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">In a nominal depression, most everything goes down in USD terms.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">In a real depression, most everything goes down in gold terms, but up in USD terms.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><br id=\"lineBreakAtBeginningOfSignature\"><\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">WordPress\u2019d from my personal iPhone,&nbsp;<a href=\"tel:650-283-8008\" dir=\"ltr\" x-apple-data-detectors=\"true\" x-apple-data-detectors-type=\"telephone\" x-apple-data-detectors-result=\"1\">650-283-8008<\/a>, number that&nbsp;Steve Jobs texted me on<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div><font color=\"#000000\"><span style=\"caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=ejeIz4EhoJ0<\/span><\/font><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: 13pt;\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former IMF chief economist, 15 yrs ago, in May 2009. &nbsp;Said we had a decade or so to fix structural issues revealed by the GFC, then sh*t would get real. &nbsp;What we are watching now is essentially the universe saying \u201cTime\u2019s up.\u201d &nbsp; &nbsp; Luke Gromen \u2066\u202a@LukeGromen\u202c\u2069 Former IMF chief economist, 15 yrs ago, in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27972,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27971","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27971"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27971\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27972"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27971"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27971"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27971"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}