{"id":29056,"date":"2024-10-12T19:29:27","date_gmt":"2024-10-12T23:29:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/?p=29056"},"modified":"2024-10-14T15:15:44","modified_gmt":"2024-10-14T19:15:44","slug":"indian-rupee-10-12-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/indian-rupee-10-12-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Indian Rupee 10-12-24"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"postie-post\">\n<div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Deeply Understood Currency Knowledge<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div style=\"display: block\" class=\"\">\n<div style=\"-webkit-user-select: all; -webkit-user-drag: element; display: inline-block\" class=\"apple-rich-link\" draggable=\"true\" role=\"link\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=-mGv6StBbOA\"><a style=\"border-radius: 10px; font-family: -apple-system, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; display: block; -webkit-user-select: none; width: 300px; user-select: none; -webkit-user-modify: read-only; user-modify: read-only; overflow: hidden; text-decoration: none\" class=\"lp-rich-link\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=-mGv6StBbOA\" dir=\"ltr\" role=\"button\" draggable=\"false\" width=\"300\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"-webkit-user-select: all; -webkit-user-drag: element; display: inline-block\" class=\"apple-rich-link\" draggable=\"true\" role=\"link\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=-mGv6StBbOA\">\n<table style=\"table-layout: fixed; border-collapse: collapse; width: 300px; background-color: #E9E9EB; font-family: -apple-system, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif\" class=\"lp-rich-link-emailBaseTable\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"300\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td vertical-align=\"center\" align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"width: 300px; filter: brightness(0.97); height: 168px\" width=\"300\" height=\"168\" draggable=\"false\" class=\"lp-rich-link-mediaImage\" alt=\"maxresdefault.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/maxresdefault.jpg\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td vertical-align=\"center\">\n<table bgcolor=\"#E9E9EB\" cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"300\" style=\"font-family: -apple-system, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; table-layout: fixed; background-color: rgba(233, 233, 235, 1)\" class=\"lp-rich-link-captionBar\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding: 8px 0px 8px 0px\" class=\"lp-rich-link-captionBar-textStackItem\">\n<div style=\"max-width: 100%; margin: 0px 16px 0px 16px; overflow: hidden\" class=\"lp-rich-link-captionBar-textStack\">\n<div style=\"word-wrap: break-word; font-weight: 500; font-size: 12px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-align: left\" class=\"lp-rich-link-captionBar-textStack-topCaption-leading\"><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=-mGv6StBbOA\" style=\"text-decoration: none\" draggable=\"false\"><font color=\"#000000\" style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 1)\">India is PLUNGING and it\u2019s Spreading to the Rest of the World<\/font><\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"word-wrap: break-word; font-weight: 400; font-size: 11px; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-align: left\" class=\"lp-rich-link-captionBar-textStack-bottomCaption-leading\"><a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=-mGv6StBbOA\" style=\"text-decoration: none\" draggable=\"false\"><font color=\"#A2A2A9\" style=\"color: rgba(60, 60, 67, 0.6)\">youtube.com<\/font><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Jeff Snider said\u2026<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">The Indian Rupee has been the canary in the coal mine for global crises\u2014 Here&#8217;s what it&#8217;s doing now&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">India&#8217;s rupee just fell to a record low and it has nothing to do with interest rates.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">The Indian rupee has been intricately linked to everything Euro$ in the 21st century, coinciding with global dollar shortages including an exact match w\/stocks from top to bottom 2007-09.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">The rupee is a canary.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Despite conventional wisdom attributing currency behavior to interest rate differentials, the rupee&#8217;s movements have defied such explanations, showing a pattern of alignment with eurodollar cycles since 2007.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image0-8.jpeg\" alt=\"image0.jpeg\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">This unique relationship has made the rupee a canary in the coalmine, providing early warnings of looming financial challenges.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Rupee plunged again in 2011 due to Euro$ #2; Fed rates pinned at zero, INR declined anyway.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image1-4.jpeg\" alt=\"image1.jpeg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image2-2.jpeg\" alt=\"image2.jpeg\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">There was Euro$ #3 when again the current fit.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">None of that was interest rates. In fact, during Euro$ #4 it was RBI&#8217;s Governor at the time, Urjit Patel, who spilled the beans. Patel even went so far as to write an op-ed in FT where he flat-out cited &#8220;dollar funding has evaporated&#8221; for the rupee&#8217;s plunge.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Because of this unique relationship where the rupee&#8217;s value is closely tied to eurodollar conditions, it has been repeated canary in coalmine for global monetary issues many times including collateral angles.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Here we are again in 2024 and INR continues to go lower and correspond with other signals. While everyone continues to be absolutely sure (again) the US soft landing is assured after a single payroll number, or following China&#8217;s &#8220;stimulus&#8221; Oprah-fest, India&#8217;s currency is yet another critical market betting the opposite way on both.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image3-2.jpeg\" alt=\"image3.jpeg\"><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu\/status\/1845231019571741085?s=43&#038;t=NipKy21fekvPoZS5MA8-lQ\"><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"border: 1px solid #ccd6dd; border-radius: 12px\" width=\"500\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"464\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr valign=\"top\">\n<td width=\"48\" valign=\"top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu?s=43\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/1542859461278277634\/oIQq20sj_normal.jpg\" style=\"border-radius: 50%; padding: 0px\" height=\"48\" width=\"48\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"8\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 8px\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/spacer.png\" width=\"8\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"middle\" width=\"388\" style=\"min-width: 388px\">\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" align=\"left\" width=\"388\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" width=\"388\"><b><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; color: #292c2f; text-decoration: none\">Jeffrey P. Snider<\/a><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration: none; color: #7e8c98\">\u2066\u202a@JeffSnider_EDU\u202c\u2069<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"20\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/logo_twitter-1497383721365.png\" height=\"20\" width=\"24\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"9\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/self_serve\/media\/spacer_464x1-1582829598167.png\" width=\"464\" height=\"1\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; color: #292c2f; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; text-decoration: none\">The Indian Rupee has been the canary in the coal mine for global crises\u2014 Here&#8217;s what it&#8217;s doing now<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; color: #292c2f; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; text-decoration: none\">India&#8217;s rupee just fell to a record low and it has nothing to do with interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>The Indian rupee has been intricately linked to everything Euro$ in the 21st century, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vWK3W8OF1R\"><span>pic.x.com\/vWK3W8OF1R<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"3\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu\/status\/1845231019571741085?s=43&#038;t=NipKy21fekvPoZS5MA8-lQ\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; color: #667785; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration: none\">10\/12\/24, 5:32\u202fPM<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0)\">WordPress\u2019d from my personal iPhone,&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0)\"><a href=\"tel:650-283-8008\" dir=\"ltr\" x-apple-data-detectors=\"true\" x-apple-data-detectors-type=\"telephone\" x-apple-data-detectors-result=\"1\">650-283-8008<\/a><\/span><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0)\">, number that&nbsp;Steve Jobs texted me on<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div dir=\"ltr\">A lot more to this one, too. Check it out at our DDA (Fall Sale) here:<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">eurodollar.university<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Or my latest video on the current macro background in India:<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">youtu.be\/-mGv6StBbOA<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0)\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div><font color=\"#000000\"><span style=\"caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0)\">https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=ejeIz4EhoJ0<\/span><\/font><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: 13pt\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deeply Understood Currency Knowledge India is PLUNGING and it\u2019s Spreading to the Rest of the World youtube.com Jeff Snider said\u2026 The Indian Rupee has been the canary in the coal mine for global crises\u2014 Here&#8217;s what it&#8217;s doing now&nbsp; India&#8217;s rupee just fell to a record low and it has nothing to do with interest [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29057,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[83],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29056","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-deeply-understood-currency-knowledge"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29056","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29056"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29056\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29095,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29056\/revisions\/29095"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29056"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29056"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29056"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}