{"id":32895,"date":"2025-04-05T03:26:50","date_gmt":"2025-04-05T03:26:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/?p=32895"},"modified":"2025-04-04T23:27:16","modified_gmt":"2025-04-05T03:27:16","slug":"you-a-maker-or-a-talker","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/you-a-maker-or-a-talker\/","title":{"rendered":"You a Maker or a Talker"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"postie-post\">\n<div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Ironically, one symptom of deindustrialization is that many commenters have never actually managed a physical business.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">So. Suppose your US company imports $1M of high quality parts, and adds in its own components to produce finished goods sold for $1.2M per batch. Your gross profit is $200k per batch.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">But wait! Suddenly a new 30% tariff is imposed on that $1M of parts. You now have to fork over $300k to customs before you sell anything. That\u2019s cash you probably don\u2019t have. Oh, and even if you do sell everything, you\u2019re now losing $100k per batch.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">With a sinking feeling, you realize your profitable business which you somehow managed to keep in America all these years has suddenly become unprofitable.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">You post online about how bad this is but get shouted down by an angry mob, convinced that capitalists like you should die. You can\u2019t tell nowadays if they\u2019re on left or right.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Moreover, you don\u2019t have the time, money, skills, or tools in house to build that $1M of parts yourself. You are being asked to do the equivalent of growing a maple tree when all you needed was a little maple syrup. So now you are faced with several tough choices.&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">(1) First, you may need to go into debt or fire people to quickly come up with the $300k in cash to pay for these surprise tariffs at customs. Even if the tariff might go away, it might not, so you have to get the cash somehow or risk having your shipment impounded.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">(2) Next, you might need to reduce quality to stop losing $100k on each batch. You could order the lower quality $750k parts, grimace and pay 30% tariff at customs, and hope you can build and sell for the same price of $1.2M per batch despite the lower quality.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">(3) Alternatively, you could keep the quality parts at $1M and instead raise prices to $1.5M per batch to get back your original margins of $200k per batch, which you need to pay employees after all. But that\u2019s a big hike that your customer will probably not welcome, given that he\u2019s likely dealing with his own tariff shock.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">So: these tariffs don\u2019t really give an incentive to build in the US. Because it\u2019s far more expensive to build a screw factory than to pay even high tariffs on a foreign screw.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Instead what they likely mean is debt, layoffs, lower quality, and higher prices for any US company that buys parts abroad.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">Just to understand how common that is:<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/balajis\/status\/1908236239268175927?s=43&amp;t=NipKy21fekvPoZS5MA8-lQ\"><\/p>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"border:1px solid #ccd6dd; border-radius: 12px;\" width=\"500\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"464\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr valign=\"top\">\n<td width=\"48\" valign=\"top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/balajis?s=43\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/1406974882919813128\/LOUb2m4R_normal.jpg\" style=\"border-radius: 50%; padding: 0px;\" height=\"48\" width=\"48\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"8\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width:8px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/spacer.png\" width=\"8\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"middle\" width=\"388\" style=\"min-width: 388px;\">\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" align=\"left\" width=\"388\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" width=\"388\"><b><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/balajis?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; color: #292c2f; text-decoration: none;\">Balaji<\/a><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/balajis?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration: none; color: #7e8c98;\">\u2066\u202a@balajis\u202c\u2069<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"20\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/logo_twitter-1497383721365.png\" height=\"20\" width=\"24\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"9\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/self_serve\/media\/spacer_464x1-1582829598167.png\" width=\"464\" height=\"1\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #292c2f; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; text-decoration: none;\">Ironically, one symptom of deindustrialization is that many commenters have never actually managed a physical business.<\/p>\n<p>So. Suppose your US company imports $1M of high quality parts, and adds in its own components to produce finished goods sold for $1.2M per batch. Your gross <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/dsKaPYtLJv\"><span>pic.x.com\/dsKaPYtLJv<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"3\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/balajis\/status\/1908236239268175927?s=43&amp;t=NipKy21fekvPoZS5MA8-lQ\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #667785; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration:none;\">4\/4\/25, 2:12\u202fPM<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<p><br id=\"lineBreakAtBeginningOfSignature\"><\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">WordPress\u2019d from my personal iPhone,&nbsp;<a href=\"tel:650-283-8008\" dir=\"ltr\" x-apple-data-detectors=\"true\" x-apple-data-detectors-type=\"telephone\" x-apple-data-detectors-result=\"1\">650-283-8008<\/a>, number that&nbsp;Steve Jobs texted me on<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div><font color=\"#000000\"><span style=\"caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">https:\/\/www.YouTube.com\/watch?v=ejeIz4EhoJ0<\/span><\/font><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: 13pt;\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ironically, one symptom of deindustrialization is that many commenters have never actually managed a physical business. So. Suppose your US company imports $1M of high quality parts, and adds in its own components to produce finished goods sold for $1.2M per batch. Your gross profit is $200k per batch. But wait! Suddenly a new 30% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32895"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32895\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}