{"id":36993,"date":"2025-12-01T15:41:25","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T15:41:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/?p=36993"},"modified":"2025-12-01T11:42:55","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T15:42:55","slug":"algebra-on-day-1-55-days-of-gemini-three-at-sf-super-bowl-bcc-day-5-23-days-of-open-ai-ducking-bk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/algebra-on-day-1-55-days-of-gemini-three-at-sf-super-bowl-bcc-day-5-23-days-of-open-ai-ducking-bk\/","title":{"rendered":"Algebra on Day 1 55 days of Gemini three at SF Super Bowl bcc Day 5 \u201c23 days of open AI ducking BK\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"postie-post\">\n<div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/morgenhatton\/status\/1995342803874840978?s=43\"><\/p>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"border:1px solid #ccd6dd; border-radius: 12px;\" width=\"500\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"464\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr valign=\"top\">\n<td width=\"48\" valign=\"top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/morgenhatton?s=43\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/1968907960932802561\/hBa3DTy-_normal.jpg\" style=\"border-radius: 50%; padding: 0px;\" height=\"48\" width=\"48\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"8\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width:8px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/spacer.png\" width=\"8\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"middle\" width=\"388\" style=\"min-width: 388px;\">\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" align=\"left\" width=\"388\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" width=\"388\"><b><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/morgenhatton?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; color: #292c2f; text-decoration: none;\">MD<\/a><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/morgenhatton?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration: none; color: #7e8c98;\">\u2066\u202a@MorgenHatton\u202c\u2069<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"20\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/logo_twitter-1497383721365.png\" height=\"20\" width=\"24\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"9\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/self_serve\/media\/spacer_464x1-1582829598167.png\" width=\"464\" height=\"1\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #292c2f; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; text-decoration: none;\">The Punchline<\/p>\n<p>People say Burry speaks in riddles.<\/p>\n<p>But tonight wasn\u2019t a riddle.<\/p>\n<p>It was a map.<\/p>\n<p>A foundation.<\/p>\n<p>A valuation model.<\/p>\n<p>A warning shot at every company hiding behind SBC\u2026<\/p>\n<p>A spotlight on the one company that isn\u2019t.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"3\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/morgenhatton\/status\/1995342803874840978?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #667785; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration:none;\">11\/30\/25, 10:02\u202fPM<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image0.jpeg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image0.jpeg\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image2.jpeg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image2.jpeg\"><br id=\"lineBreakAtBeginningOfSignature\"><\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div><span style=\"font-size: 17pt; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">Chapter 1 to Chapter 14\u2019s an \u201cEaster Egg\u201d at&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); font-size: 17pt;\">#ch1 to #ch14. Including #ch2 which\u2019s chapter 2 at my house in Napa California<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"ltr\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ejeIz4EhoJ0<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"AppleMailSignature\" dir=\"ltr\">\n<div id=\"AppleMailSignature\" dir=\"ltr\">&#8211; This post wraps a thread linking Michael Burry&#8217;s &#8220;Tragic Algebra of Stock-Based Compensation&#8221; critique\u2014deriving a Gordon Growth Model variant (PV = CF\u2081 \/ (r \u2013 g)) to expose SBC dilution\u2014to GameStop as the rare company avoiding it, with FY2025 SBC at just $16M against $3.8B revenue.<\/div>\n<div id=\"AppleMailSignature\" dir=\"ltr\">&#8211; Burry&#8217;s November 30, 2025, Substack post targets Nvidia&#8217;s $11B+ SBC since 2018 as eroding 50% of owner earnings via share inflation, contrasting firms like GameStop that shrink shares through buybacks without dilution.<\/div>\n<div id=\"AppleMailSignature\" dir=\"ltr\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image3.jpeg\" src=\"blob:null\/ebe771ca-b4b9-4e1b-895b-10eba2423bfe\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image4.jpeg\" src=\"blob:null\/657f58bb-a5d9-45c6-8876-f8bed0377f24\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"AppleMailSignature\" dir=\"ltr\">&#8211; GameStop&#8217;s profile fits Burry&#8217;s ideal: $131M net income, zero debt, positive FCF, and a pivot to high-margin digital (e.g., PowerPacks, NFTs), suggesting market mispricing per the formula, especially after Burry&#8217;s recent GME reflections.<\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image5.png\" src=\"blob:null\/a8c3077a-6472-43a3-bfdd-7aee4e1a5c00\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image6.png\" src=\"blob:null\/35195f13-7550-4edf-9798-d8ca0a14f3f5\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image7.jpeg\" src=\"blob:null\/eaf6822e-96b6-4a3f-ae59-d99afef3bc67\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image8.jpeg\" src=\"blob:null\/2a2125be-f1e2-4975-9720-488452b74afb\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image9.jpeg\" src=\"blob:null\/07a49eba-46c6-4b0d-8211-a8a69c26f688\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">On 09-09-39, &#8220;What They Will NEVER Teach You at Stanford Business School&#8221; debuts at 300 w 44th St at New York Fashion Week&#8217;s front row<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=QXIaNZi3mHQ<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><br \/>What A Super Model Can Teach a Harvard MBA About Credit&nbsp;<span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/larrychiang\/what-a-super-model-can-teach-a-harvard-mba-about-credit\">www.slideshare.net\/larrychiang\/what-a-super-model-can-teach-a-harvard-mba-about-credit<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>American Express hosts me mentoring you about FICO scores at New York Fashion Week<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/inxTmZAj\">t.co\/inxTmZAj<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>My video boils down 20,000 hours and moves you to the right on the entrepreneur bell curve&nbsp;<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=eudADPfTWiE<\/span><br \/><\/span><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); font-size: 17pt;\">***********<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><span dir=\"ltr\">Steve Jobs Texted me on 650-283-8008 in the same way that Mr Jobs called Bill Hewlett&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/superSaiyanSkai\/status\/1941392367304761636\/video\/1\">https:\/\/x.com\/superSaiyanSkai\/status\/1941392367304761636\/video\/1<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"ltr\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><\/p>\n<div><span dir=\"ltr\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span dir=\"ltr\">Larry Chiang<\/span><\/div>\n<div>Fund of Founders<\/div>\n<div>Founding Stanford EIR<\/div>\n<div>@duck9 alum, Deeply Understood Capital Credit Chinese Knowledge 9<\/div>\n<div>Solo Founder Uber API<\/div>\n<div>650-566-9600 Office<\/div>\n<div>650-566-9696 Direct<\/div>\n<div>Cell: 415-720-8500&nbsp;<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">650-283-8008 (cell)<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">Editor of the widely syndicated &#8220;What They Don&#8217;t Teach at School&#8221;<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog\">whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>CNN Video Channel:&nbsp;<span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ireport.cnn.com\/people\/larrychiang\">ireport.cnn.com\/people\/larrychiang<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read my last 10 X posts at&nbsp;<span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.X.com\/LarryChiang\">www.X.com\/LarryChiang<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Author of #WTDTYASBS a NY Times Bestseller released 09-09-09 at #NYFW on a runway under the tents<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog\/?s=Ny+times+bestseller\">whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog\/?s=Ny+times+bestseller<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/embed\/c0d4562ea2049\">www.fastcompany.com\/embed\/c0d4562ea2049<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>52 Cards. Two Jokers. What They DO Teach You at Stanford Engineering<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=vDBY0GkI3-g<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Emergency swings and cutting deals as an 9 year old<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=OFGY7v9C4G0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hunter Pence shared thoughts before winning WORLD SERIES&#8217; Game #7<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=usu0luYy9pw<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><span dir=\"ltr\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\t\t<style type=\"text\/css\">\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 {\n\t\t\t\tmargin: auto;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 .gallery-item {\n\t\t\t\tfloat: left;\n\t\t\t\tmargin-top: 10px;\n\t\t\t\ttext-align: center;\n\t\t\t\twidth: 33%;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 img {\n\t\t\t\tborder: 2px solid #cfcfcf;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t#gallery-1 .gallery-caption {\n\t\t\t\tmargin-left: 0;\n\t\t\t}\n\t\t\t\/* see gallery_shortcode() in 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in riddles. But tonight wasn\u2019t a riddle. It was a map. A foundation. A valuation model. A warning shot at every company hiding behind SBC\u2026 A spotlight on the one company that isn\u2019t. &nbsp; 11\/30\/25, 10:02\u202fPM &nbsp; &nbsp; Chapter 1 to Chapter 14\u2019s an \u201cEaster [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":36994,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36993","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36993"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36993\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}