{"id":37154,"date":"2025-12-15T03:09:45","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T03:09:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/?p=37154"},"modified":"2025-12-14T23:10:25","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T03:10:25","slug":"ibm-says-too-expensive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/ibm-says-too-expensive\/","title":{"rendered":"IBM Says Too Expensive"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"postie-post\">\n<div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu\/status\/2000360447569236240?s=43\"><\/p>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" style=\"border:1px solid #ccd6dd; border-radius: 12px;\" width=\"500\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" width=\"464\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr valign=\"top\">\n<td width=\"48\" valign=\"top\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu?s=43\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/profile_images\/1542859461278277634\/oIQq20sj_normal.jpg\" style=\"border-radius: 50%; padding: 0px;\" height=\"48\" width=\"48\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/a><\/td>\n<td width=\"8\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width:8px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/spacer.png\" width=\"8\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"middle\" width=\"388\" style=\"min-width: 388px;\">\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" border=\"0\" align=\"left\" width=\"388\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\" width=\"388\"><b><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; color: #292c2f; text-decoration: none;\">Jeffrey P. Snider<\/a><\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration: none; color: #7e8c98;\">\u2066\u202a@JeffSnider_EDU\u202c\u2069<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" width=\"20\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/email\/self_serve\/media\/logo_twitter-1497383721365.png\" height=\"20\" width=\"24\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"9\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ea.twimg.com\/self_serve\/media\/spacer_464x1-1582829598167.png\" width=\"464\" height=\"1\" data-unique-identifier=\"\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #292c2f; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; text-decoration: none;\">For the first time in this entire cycle, someone important said the quiet part out loud.<\/p>\n<p>IBM\u2019s CEO looked at the trillions pouring into AI and data centers and said:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is no way all of this massive spending will ever pay off.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That single sentence matters more than any<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"3\" colspan=\"4\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height:0px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jeffsnider_edu\/status\/2000360447569236240?s=43\" style=\"font-family: Helvetica, Arial, san-serif;color: #667785; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18px; text-decoration:none;\">12\/14\/25, 6:21\u202fPM<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"18\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px; min-width: 18px;\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\" style=\"font-size: 0px; line-height: 0px;\" height=\"12\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<div>&#8211; Jeffrey Snider&#8217;s post cites IBM CEO Arvind Krishna&#8217;s December 2025 statement that trillions in AI data center spending won&#8217;t pay off due to high infrastructure and interest costs, marking a shift from unchecked optimism to scrutiny in the AI boom.<\/div>\n<div>&#8211; Supporting data shows Oracle&#8217;s free cash flow turned negative at $10 billion in its latest quarter from heavy AI investments, while Broadcom&#8217;s stock dropped 5% post-earnings despite 28% revenue growth, reflecting investor doubts on sustainability.<\/div>\n<div>&#8211; As a monetary analyst, Snider warns that AI&#8217;s debt-fueled expansion props up broader markets and consumer spending; a slowdown could trigger refinancing challenges in tightening credit conditions, amplifying risks into 2026.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image0.png\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image0-4-scaled.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image1.png\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image1-9-scaled.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image2.jpeg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image2-8-rotated.jpeg\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"image3.png\" src=\"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image3-5-scaled.png\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<div><span style=\"font-size: 17pt; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">Chapter 1 to Chapter 14\u2019s an \u201cEaster Egg\u201d at&nbsp;<\/span><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); font-size: 17pt;\">#ch1 to #ch14. Including #ch2 which\u2019s chapter 2 at my house in Napa California<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"ltr\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ejeIz4EhoJ0<\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">On 09-09-39, &#8220;What They Will NEVER Teach You at Stanford Business School&#8221; debuts at 300 w 44th St at New York Fashion Week&#8217;s front row<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=QXIaNZi3mHQ<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><br \/>What A Super Model Can Teach a Harvard MBA About Credit&nbsp;<span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/larrychiang\/what-a-super-model-can-teach-a-harvard-mba-about-credit\">www.slideshare.net\/larrychiang\/what-a-super-model-can-teach-a-harvard-mba-about-credit<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>American Express hosts me mentoring you about FICO scores at New York Fashion Week<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/inxTmZAj\">t.co\/inxTmZAj<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>My video boils down 20,000 hours and moves you to the right on the entrepreneur bell curve&nbsp;<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=eudADPfTWiE<\/span><br \/><\/span><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); font-size: 17pt;\">***********<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><span dir=\"ltr\">Steve Jobs Texted me on 650-283-8008 in the same way that Mr Jobs called Bill Hewlett&nbsp;<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/superSaiyanSkai\/status\/1941392367304761636\/video\/1\">https:\/\/x.com\/superSaiyanSkai\/status\/1941392367304761636\/video\/1<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<p><span dir=\"ltr\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><\/p>\n<div><span dir=\"ltr\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span dir=\"ltr\">Larry Chiang<\/span><\/div>\n<div>Fund of Founders<\/div>\n<div>Founding Stanford EIR<\/div>\n<div>@duck9 alum, Deeply Understood Capital Credit Chinese Knowledge 9<\/div>\n<div>Solo Founder Uber API<\/div>\n<div>650-566-9600 Office<\/div>\n<div>650-566-9696 Direct<\/div>\n<div>Cell: 415-720-8500&nbsp;<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">650-283-8008 (cell)<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><br \/><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\">Editor of the widely syndicated &#8220;What They Don&#8217;t Teach at School&#8221;<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog\">whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>CNN Video Channel:&nbsp;<span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ireport.cnn.com\/people\/larrychiang\">ireport.cnn.com\/people\/larrychiang<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Read my last 10 X posts at&nbsp;<span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.X.com\/LarryChiang\">www.X.com\/LarryChiang<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Author of #WTDTYASBS a NY Times Bestseller released 09-09-09 at #NYFW on a runway under the tents<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog\/?s=Ny+times+bestseller\">whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com\/blog\/?s=Ny+times+bestseller<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/embed\/c0d4562ea2049\">www.fastcompany.com\/embed\/c0d4562ea2049<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>52 Cards. Two Jokers. What They DO Teach You at Stanford Engineering<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=vDBY0GkI3-g<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Emergency swings and cutting deals as an 9 year old<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=OFGY7v9C4G0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Hunter Pence shared thoughts before winning WORLD SERIES&#8217; Game #7<br \/><span dir=\"ltr\">http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=usu0luYy9pw<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\"><span dir=\"ltr\"><br \/><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; Jeffrey P. Snider \u2066\u202a@JeffSnider_EDU\u202c\u2069 For the first time in this entire cycle, someone important said the quiet part out loud. IBM\u2019s CEO looked at the trillions pouring into AI and data centers and said: \u201cThere is no way all of this massive spending will ever pay off.\u201d That single sentence matters more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37155,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37154","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37154"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37154\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37155"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37154"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37154"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.duck9.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37154"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}