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In The Media

Zero Percent Chance of Being Correct

by Larry Chiang on December 17, 2025


– Lyft CEO David Risher, in a November 2025 Fortune interview, argued self-driving cars won’t replace human drivers soon due to tech limitations in adverse weather, high costs of $250,000–$300,000 per vehicle, regulatory hurdles, and low consumer demand, predicting under 10% of Lyft’s rides from AVs by 2030.
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Zero Percent Chance of Being Correct 
– Elon Musk’s “lol” reply highlights Tesla’s contrasting push via Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, which equips affordable vehicles like the Model 3 for $40,000 and saw v14 updates in December 2025 improving smoothness and handling complex scenarios.
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– The post, from Tesla-focused analyst Nic Cruz Patane, sparks replies mocking Risher’s stance as outdated, amid data showing Tesla FSD v14 reducing interventions to under 3 per 780 miles in real-world tests.

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Larry Chiang
Fund of Founders
Founding Stanford EIR
@duck9 alum, Deeply Understood Capital Credit Chinese Knowledge 9
Solo Founder Uber API
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Editor of the widely syndicated “What They Don’t Teach at School”
whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com/blog

CNN Video Channel: ireport.cnn.com/people/larrychiang

Read my last 10 X posts at www.X.com/LarryChiang

Author of #WTDTYASBS a NY Times Bestseller released 09-09-09 at #NYFW on a runway under the tents
whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com/blog/?s=Ny+times+bestseller

www.fastcompany.com/embed/c0d4562ea2049

52 Cards. Two Jokers. What They DO Teach You at Stanford Engineering
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vDBY0GkI3-g

Emergency swings and cutting deals as an 9 year old
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFGY7v9C4G0

Hunter Pence shared thoughts before winning WORLD SERIES’ Game #7
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=usu0luYy9pw


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