Bears Thesis Is Dead

– Adam Livingston’s post dismisses bearish claims of Bitcoin’s “broken structure” after a 50% drawdown to ~$66,000, using a power-law model to show the price is 47% below its long-term trend, with rising R² accuracy indicating maturing adoption rather than collapse.

– The embedded video introduces log-periodic oscillations around this trend, framing volatility as inherent mean-reversion cycles; it projects Bitcoin’s next peak at $508,000 by mid-2028, suggesting the 2022-2026 period was a prolonged bear market primed for reversion.

– Applying the model to MicroStrategy (MSTR), Livingston estimates $5,000 per share by 2036 from current holdings alone—yielding ~0.0022 BTC exposure per share after senior claims—at a $2.24 million Bitcoin price, capturing just 0.19% of a $47 trillion network value against global wealth.

🔥THE BITCOIN BEARS ARE COMPLETELY COOKED + MSTR TO $5,000?!?🔥

Bitcoin dumps 50 percent and suddenly every economically illiterate ghoul with a WiFi signal starts acting like they just solved the markets.

“It’s over.”

“The structure is broken.”

“The bubble finally popped.”

Fantastic. Incredible work, Sherlock.

You saw a volatile asset be volatile and concluded that fifteen years of price history, adoption, market structure, and cyclical mean reversion were all just a shared hallucination.

In this video, I break down a Bitcoin model that says the bears may be COMPLETELY COOKED, and why it means $5,000 MSTR even if Saylor never buys another Bitcoin:

https://x.com/adambliv/status/2038323399966028278?s=43

Chapter 1 to Chapter 14’s an “Easter Egg” at #ch1 to #ch14. Including #ch2 which’s chapter 2 at my house in Napa California

What They Will NEVER Teach You at Stanford Business School

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On 09-09-39, “What They Will NEVER Teach You at Stanford Business School” debuts at 300 w 44th St at New York Fashion Week’s front row
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QXIaNZi3mHQ

What A Super Model Can Teach a Harvard MBA About Credit www.slideshare.net/larrychiang/what-a-super-model-can-teach-a-harvard-mba-about-credit

American Express hosts me mentoring you about FICO scores at New York Fashion Week
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My video boils down 20,000 hours and moves you to the right on the entrepreneur bell curve
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eudADPfTWiE
***********

Steve Jobs Texted me on 650-283-8008 in the same way that Mr Jobs called Bill Hewlett https://x.com/superSaiyanSkai/status/1941392367304761636/video/1

Larry Chiang

Fund of Founders

Founding Stanford EIR

@duck9 alum, Deeply Understood Capital Credit Chinese Knowledge 9

Solo Founder Uber API

650-566-9600 Office

650-566-9696 Direct

Cell: 415-720-8500

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Editor of the widely syndicated “What They Don’t Teach at School”
whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com/blog

CNN Video Channel: ireport.cnn.com/people/larrychiang

Read my last 10 X posts at www.X.com/LarryChiang

Author of #WTDTYASBS a NY Times Bestseller released 09-09-09 at #NYFW on a runway under the tents
whattheydontteachyouatstanfordbusinessschool.com/blog/?s=Ny+times+bestseller

www.fastcompany.com/embed/c0d4562ea2049

52 Cards. Two Jokers. What They DO Teach You at Stanford Engineering
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vDBY0GkI3-g

Emergency swings and cutting deals as an 9 year old
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OFGY7v9C4G0

Hunter Pence shared thoughts before winning WORLD SERIES’ Game #7
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=usu0luYy9pw

Bears Thesis Is Dead

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